Monday, March 29, 2010

2010 NFBC Draft Results

This past weekend the NFBC held its annual draft at Citi Field in New York. As a life long Met fan it was literally the greatest place on earth for a fantasy baseball draft. Here's this year's team competing in NYC League #2.

1) David Wright, 3B - I believe he'll bounce back and 3B is brutally thin this year. 5 categories in the bank.

2) Jose Reyes, SS - The thyroid is find so now I just have to worry about the hammy. My thinking is that he's just too young and talented not to bounce back and he looked 100% earlier in Spring Training. A make or break pick.

3) Justin Morneau, 1B - 1B is loaded this year and I think that means it's critical to grab a top masher so you don't miss the party. I think Target field will greatly help lefties once it heats up a bit so I thinking career year.

4) Nelson Cruz, OF - Finally broke out last season but I still see some upside. In a full season 40+ HRs and a BA closer to .300 is possible. His projection is 'only' 30/20 which is still more than fine at this point.

5) Cole Hamels, SP - Victim of bad luck last season coming off of over work in 2008. Hamels will be this year's Verlander and bounce to be a top 5 pitcher this year.

6) Ricky Nolsaco, SP - Another hard luck pitcher in 2009 who has been unreal all spring, a perfect compliment to back up Hamels.

7) Heath Bell, RP - One of the top closers and still underappreciated.

8) Rafael Soriano, RP - Soriano has the stuff and opportunity to be a top 5 closer. I can’t understand why his ADP never shot up accordingly. Soriano in the 8th round is a key piece to my overall plan.

9) Juan Pierre, OF - Solid in 3 categories Pierre seemed like the most stable fit even though he didn't fill a pressing need.

10) Rickie Weeks, 2B - Weeks was a bit of a reach here but I wanted to pick up some power after the Pierre pick. His injury risk is mitigated by the lack of talent at 2B.

11) Miguel Tejada, SS - Still has a nice BA and will bat in good spot in the order so Tejeda will be productive. All in all I'm now fairly strong at the thin middle infield.

12) Alfonso Soriano, OF - I was shocked to see him here and was close to overlooking him myself. I wanted a power hitting OF and this is great value.

13) Yadier Molina, C - A little banged up at the moment but will hit for a nice BA. Didn't want to wait this long on a catcher but it hadn't worked out until now.

14) Magglio Ordonez, OF - He could still tickle 20 HRs again and the BA will be great. Maggs will still have plenty of chances to drive in and score lots of runs.

15) Nick Swisher, OF/1B - I wanted a pure power guy and had need at CI and OF so Swisher works here.

16) Conor Jackson, OF - The medicine for Swishers garbage BA. I'm a big believer in a Conor Jackson bounce back this year.

17) Buster Posey, C - I was getting panicky for a 2nd catcher. Word is they'll find some time at 1B for Posey so he should have a chance to cobble together a meaningful number of at bats. I like the BA potential but between Pose and Yadier left myself light in the counting stats.

18) Edwin Encarnacion, 3B - I needed another pure CI and still think there are some solid seasons in Encarnacion's future.

19) Aroldis Chapman, SP - This was a shock. Strasburg went in the 12th. I actually wanted to keep loading up on bats but Chapman could be a huge difference maker.

20) Alex Gordon, 3B - This was another extreme value pick that I rescued from free fall. I wanted some bench depth so this is big help.

21) Jermaine Dye, OF - I view the fact that Dye not being signed means his free to take a lot of steroids. 4 months of Dye should yield 20 HRs so I love the pick as my 7th OF.

22) Justin Duchscherer, SP - He won't sniff 200 innings but 100-150 really good ones will make Duchsherer a great spot starter.

23) Brad Bergesen, SP - Very underrated. Bergesen has a shot to have a sub-1.3 WHIP and 3/1 K/BB ratio which makes him a solid mid-rotation guy in a deep format like the NFBC.

24) Hank Blalock, 1B - I wanted some more pop on the bench. If you squint really hard you'll see a couple of high 20 HR bounce back seasons too.

25) Kenshin Kawakami, SP - Kawakami starts my end game pitching run. Not great skills but good enough to spot start and expect decent results.

26) Nick Blackburn, SP - Perfectly league average stuff. Blackburn won't help but more importantly he won't hurt.

27) Dallas Braden, SP - More league average stuff.

28) Kyle Lohse, SP - I could see a slight bounce back to 2008 form. He'll only be a spot starter.

29) Jon Niese, SP - It's not saying much but Niese may be the Mets 2nd best starter. He should have solid numbers but unlike my other recent picks has some upside.

30) Gil Meche, SP - Arm trouble this spring and last season have killed Meche's stock. He had 2 very solid seasons in 07 and 08 and is young enough to bounce back.

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